🔺 Higher stretch — grade 8 and 9 topics

Answer key

1. (b) 0.355 — Method: use the law of total probability across the two Monday branches: P(rain Tue) = P(rain Mon) × P(rain Tue | rain Mon) + P(no rain Mon) × P(rain Tue | no rain Mon). Working: P(no rain Mon) = 1 − 0.3 = 0.7. P(rain Tue) = (0.3 × 0.6) + (0.7 × 0.25) = 0.18 + 0.175 = 0.355. Answer: 0.355. Watch out: using only the rain-Monday branch (0.3 × 0.6) or only the no-rain-Monday branch (0.7 × 0.25) accounts for just one of the two ways Tuesday can turn out rainy — both branches must be added. And swapping which weekday-probability multiplies which branch (0.7 with the rain branch, 0.3 with the no-rain branch) uses the right numbers on the wrong branches.
2. (c) y = x² — Method: test a candidate rule against every pair given, not just one — a rule that fits one pair and fails another is not the rule. Working: the outputs 1, 4, 9 rise by 3 and then by 5, so they are not going up in equal steps and the input is not simply multiplied by a fixed number; comparing each output with its own input gives 1 × 1 = 1, 2 × 2 = 4 and 3 × 3 = 9, and all three pairs fit. Answer: y = x². The distractors: y = 3x comes from fitting only the last pair, where 3 × 3 = 9, and reading that 3 as a multiplier; y = 3x − 2 comes from assuming a multiply-then-add rule and using the first step in the outputs, 4 − 1 = 3, as the multiplier — it fits the first two pairs and fails the third; y = 2x comes from fitting only the pair 2 and 4 and reading every output as double its input.
3. (b) 25 — The tangent at (9, 12) is 9x + 12y = 225. Setting y = 0 (the x-axis): 9x = 225, so x = 25. Choosing 18.75 comes from swapping the coefficients in the tangent equation (using 12x + 9y = 225) before setting y = 0. Choosing 15 is where the circle itself meets the x-axis (from x² = 225), not where the tangent does. Choosing 9 is just the x-coordinate of the original point (9, 12), not the point P.
4. (c) 1/56 — Method: for draws without replacement, multiply a chain of three fractions where both the numerator (reds remaining) and the denominator (counters remaining) fall by one after each draw. Working: P(all three red) = 3/8 × 2/7 × 1/6 = 6/336 = 1/56. Answer: 1/56. Watch out: using 3/8 for all three draws (27/512) treats the counters as if they were replaced each time. Reducing only the numerator each draw (3/8 × 2/8 × 1/8) forgets that the total number of counters left in the bag also falls. And reducing only the denominator while keeping the numerator at 3 each time (3/8 × 3/7 × 3/6) forgets that a red counter has actually left the bag.
5. (a) 7 — Multiply the input by 2: 6 × 2 = 12. Then subtract 5: 12 − 5 = 7. A candidate who does the operations in the wrong order, subtracting 5 first and then multiplying by 2, gets (6 − 5) × 2 = 2. A candidate who only carries out the multiplication and forgets to subtract gets 12. A candidate who adds 5 instead of subtracting gets 6 × 2 + 5 = 17.
6. (a) −8 — −f(x) means take the output value from the table and change its sign, without changing which x-value is looked up. From the table, f(1) = 8, so −f(1) = −8. Reading f(1) = 8 from the table but forgetting to apply the negative sign gives 8. Misreading the row and using f(0) = 5 instead of f(1) = 8, then negating it, gives −5. Confusing −f(x) with f(x) − 1 — taking f(1) = 8 and subtracting 1 instead of negating — gives 7.
7. (b) 0.0309 — Method: P(both defective | at least one defective) = P(both defective) ÷ P(at least one defective). Find each using independence: P(both) = 0.06², P(at least one) = 1 − P(neither) = 1 − 0.94². Working: P(both) = 0.06² = 0.0036. P(neither) = 0.94² = 0.8836, so P(at least one) = 1 − 0.8836 = 0.1164. P(both | at least one) = 0.0036 ÷ 0.1164 = 0.0309 (3 s.f.). Answer: 0.0309. Watch out: leaving the answer as 0.0036 gives P(both defective) itself, not the probability once you already know at least one is defective — you still need to divide by P(at least one defective). Giving 0.0600 answers with the single-component defect rate, ignoring the condition altogether. And 0.5000 assumes that 'at least one' makes the outcomes 'exactly one defective' and 'both defective' equally likely, which is not how these probabilities combine.
8. (c) 9/16 — Method: two steps. Total the patients who had a flu jab, since the patient picked is known to be one of them, then divide the over 65s who had a jab by that total. Working: 90 patients over 65 and 70 patients aged 65 or under had a jab, so 160 patients had one. The over 65s give 90/160, and dividing the numerator and the denominator by 10 gives 9/16. Answer: the probability is 9/16. The distractors: 7/16 is 70/160, the probability that the patient picked is aged 65 or under, which is the other part of the same restricted group; 3/4 is 90/120, the probability that a patient had a jab given that they are over 65, which is the condition and the event the wrong way round and needs the 120 patients over 65; 9/40 is 90/400, dividing by every patient on the list instead of by the 160 who had a jab.
9. (c) 14.1 — Method: in x² + y² = r² the right-hand side is the square of the radius, so take its square root to find the radius, then double the radius because the diameter is twice the radius. Working: r² = 50, so r = √50 = 7.07106…, and the diameter is 2 × 7.07106… = 14.14213…, which is 14.1 correct to 1 decimal place. Answer: 14.1. The distractors: 7.1 is the radius, worked out correctly but never doubled, so it answers a question about the radius rather than the diameter; 100.0 comes from doubling the 50 on the right-hand side, treating r² as though it were already the radius; 25.0 comes from halving the 50, treating r² as though it were already the diameter.
10. (b) x² + y² = 169 — Method: a circle centred on the origin has equation x² + y² = r², and every point on it satisfies that equation, so substituting the coordinates of a point that lies on the circle gives r² directly. Working: substituting x = 5 and y = 12 gives 5² + 12² = 25 + 144 = 169, so r² = 169 and the circle is x² + y² = 169. Answer: x² + y² = 169. The distractors: x² + y² = 13 uses the radius, √169 = 13, where r² belongs, which is the confusion between r and r² made in the other direction; x² + y² = 17 adds the two coordinates, 5 + 12, instead of adding their squares; x² + y² = 119 subtracts the squares, 144 − 25, treating 12 as the hypotenuse of the right-angled triangle rather than as one of the shorter sides.
11. (d) −2 — Method: run the machine backwards, undoing the operations in the opposite order and swapping each one for its inverse. Working: the machine added 7 last, so take 7 off the output: 1 − 7 = −6; before that the machine had multiplied by 3, so divide: −6 ÷ 3, and a negative divided by a positive stays negative. Answer: −2, which checks because 3 × (−2) + 7 = −6 + 7 = 1. The distractors: 2 comes from dividing 6 by 3 and losing the minus sign; −6 comes from taking the 7 off and stopping there, never undoing the multiplication; −18 comes from multiplying −6 by 3 instead of dividing by 3.
12. (a) (30, 60) — Method: a cumulative frequency point is plotted at the upper boundary of its class, paired with the running total of all the frequencies up to and including that class. Working: the running totals are 7, then 7 + 19 = 26, then 26 + 34 = 60, then 60 + 40 = 100; the class 20 ≤ t < 30 has upper boundary 30, and the running total there is 60. Answer: the point for that class is plotted at 30 seconds against a cumulative frequency of 60. The distractors: (25, 60) comes from plotting at the class midpoint, which is what a frequency polygon uses and not what a cumulative frequency diagram uses; (30, 34) comes from plotting the class frequency, 34, rather than the running total; (20, 60) comes from plotting at the lower boundary of the class, which would claim that 60 calls took less than 20 seconds when only 26 did.
13. (a) (2n + 1) + (2n + 3) = 4n + 4 = 4(n + 1) — Two consecutive odd numbers can be written as 2n + 1 and 2n + 3, for a whole number n. Adding them: (2n + 1) + (2n + 3) = 4n + 4 = 4(n + 1), which is a multiple of 4 for every whole number n, proving the general result. Using 2n + 1 twice does not represent two different numbers, so it proves nothing about a sum of two numbers; writing n + (n + 2) drops the +1 that makes the numbers odd in the first place, and only shows a multiple of 2; and check every constant term is added correctly — 1 + 3 is 4, not 3.
14. (d) 25 ≤ t < 45 — Method: the height of a bar on a histogram is the frequency density, so work out frequency ÷ class width for every class and compare the four heights. Working: 20 ÷ 10 = 2 for the first class; 12 ÷ 15 = 0.8 for the second; 50 ÷ 20 = 2.5 for the third; 60 ÷ 30 = 2 for the fourth. Answer: the largest of 2, 0.8, 2.5 and 2 is 2.5, so the tallest bar is the one for 25 ≤ t < 45. The distractors: 45 ≤ t < 75 comes from picking the class with the greatest frequency, 60, and treating a frequency as a height — but that class is three times as wide, so its 60 competitors are spread thinly; 10 ≤ t < 25 comes from dividing the class width by the frequency, 15 ÷ 12, and picking the largest of those reversed values; 0 ≤ t < 10 comes from assuming the narrowest class must always give the tallest bar, which is only true when the frequencies are equal.
15. (c) 5/18 — Method: knowing the total is even cuts the 36 equally likely outcomes down to the even ones, so count those first and then count how many of them give 8. Working: the even totals occur as 2 once, 4 three times, 6 five times, 8 five times, 10 three times and 12 once, which is 18 outcomes. The total is 8 for 2 and 6, 3 and 5, 4 and 4, 5 and 3, and 6 and 2, which is 5 outcomes. The probability is 5/18, which will not cancel. Answer: the probability is 5/18. The distractors: 5/36 keeps the right count of ways to make 8 but divides by all 36 outcomes, ignoring the fact that the odd totals have already been ruled out; 1/6 treats the six even totals 2, 4, 6, 8, 10 and 12 as equally likely and picks one of them, which they are not; 1/11 treats the eleven possible totals from 2 to 12 as equally likely and uses neither the counting nor the condition.
16. (b) (5, 1) — First scale a by 2: 2a = (2×3, 2×(−2)) = (6, −4). Then add b component by component: (6+(−1), −4+5) = (5, 1). (2, 3) is a + b without doubling a first. (4, 6) doubles both a and b instead of only a. (7, −9) subtracts b from 2a instead of adding it.
17. (a) −1 — Reflecting y = sin x in the x-axis gives y = −sin x, so g(x) = −sin x. Since sin 90° = 1, g(90) = −1. Reading sin 90° = 1 and forgetting to apply the reflection gives 1. Misreading the angle as 0° instead of 90° gives sin 0° = 0, so 0. Confusing sin 90° with sin 30° = 0.5, then reflecting it, gives −0.5.
18. (b) 6 — Method: frequency density = frequency ÷ class width. Working: the class 12 ≤ h < 18 has width 18 − 12 = 6, so frequency density = 36 ÷ 6 = 6. Answer: the frequency density is 6 seedlings per cm. Watch which numbers you use: taking the lower bound, 12, as the width instead of 18 − 12 = 6 gives 36 ÷ 12 = 3; dividing the total number of seedlings, 90, rather than this class's frequency, 36, by the width gives 90 ÷ 6 = 15, a density that belongs to no single class; and multiplying instead of dividing gives 36 × 6 = 216, far too large a density for so narrow a class.