⏱️ Ten-minute starters — Foundation

Answer key

1. (a) Ben, because a larger sample is closer to the theory — Method: a relative frequency is an estimate of a probability, and for an unbiased experiment that estimate tends towards the theoretical value as the sample grows. Working: Priya's estimate rests on 50 results, so a few unexpected heads move it a long way; one extra head shifts her relative frequency by 1 ÷ 50 = 0.02. Ben's estimate rests on 500 results, where one extra head shifts his relative frequency by only 1 ÷ 500 = 0.002. The larger sample therefore swings far less around the true value. Answer: Ben's relative frequency is the one more likely to be close, because a larger unbiased sample tends closer to the theoretical probability. The distractors: saying a small sample is less affected by luck reverses the result, since it is the small sample that swings most; saying every flip is a separate random event is true of the flips themselves but says nothing about the estimates, and is often used to argue wrongly that the number of trials does not matter; saying 500 flips must give exactly 250 heads confuses an expected value with a guaranteed one, and 500 flips very rarely give exactly 250 heads.
2. (d) 4x + 5 — A minus sign directly before a bracket changes the sign of both terms inside it: 6x − (2x − 5) = 6x − 2x + 5 = 4x + 5. The option 4x − 5 comes from only changing the sign of the 2x term and not the −5, giving 6x − 2x − 5. The option 8x − 5 comes from adding 2x instead of subtracting it, as if the minus sign did not apply to the bracket, giving 6x + 2x − 5. The option 8x + 5 repeats that same addition mistake and also changes the sign of the −5 term.
3. (b) 0.4 — The two events are independent, so multiply the two probabilities: 0.8 × 0.5 = 0.4. Choosing 1.3 comes from adding the two probabilities instead of multiplying, 0.8 + 0.5 = 1.3. Choosing 0.3 comes from subtracting the two probabilities, 0.8 − 0.5 = 0.3, instead of multiplying them. Choosing 0.1 comes from using the probability that Ben is NOT on time, 1 − 0.8 = 0.2, and multiplying that by Freya's probability instead, 0.2 × 0.5 = 0.1.
4. (a) 40 — From 9am to 12 noon is 3 hours, so the population doubles three times: 5 × 2³ = 40. A candidate who counts the elapsed time as 4 hours (an off-by-one counting error) would reach 5 × 2⁴ = 80. A candidate who counts it as only 2 hours would reach 5 × 2² = 20. A candidate who misreads 'doubles' as 'increases by 2' each hour would compute 5 + 3 × 2 = 11.
5. (a) 45% — Method: percentage increase = increase ÷ original amount × 100. Working: the increase is £116 − £80 = £36, and 36 ÷ 80 = 0.45, so 0.45 × 100 = 45%. Answer: 45%. The distractors: 36% comes from quoting the £36 increase as though pounds and per cent were the same thing; 31% comes from dividing the £36 increase by the new price £116 instead of by the original £80, which gives 31% to the nearest per cent; 145% is the new price written as a percentage of the original price, which is the whole of the new price rather than the increase.
6. (d) 47 — To reach the 8th term from the 1st term, the difference of 6 is added 7 times (8 − 1 = 7): 5 + 7 × 6 = 47. A candidate who multiplies by the term number itself, rather than one less, would compute 5 + 8 × 6 = 53. A candidate who uses one step too few (6 instead of 7) would reach 5 + 6 × 6 = 41. A candidate who forgets to include the first term at all would compute just 8 × 6 = 48.
7. (b) Right angle, equal hypotenuse, one more side — RHS requires a right angle in each triangle, equal hypotenuses, and one further pair of equal sides, so 'right angle, equal hypotenuse, one more side' is correct. 'Right angle, hypotenuse, one more angle' is wrong because it asks for an extra equal angle instead of an extra equal side, which RHS does not check. 'Two sides and the angle between them' describes SAS, not RHS, so it is wrong. 'Right angle and all three sides equal' describes SSS with an extra right-angle condition, asking for more information than RHS actually needs, so it is wrong.
8. (a) 17 — Method: work out each power separately, then combine them as the question asks. Working: $2^3 = 8$ and $3^2 = 9$, and 8 + 9 = 17. 72 comes from working out 8 × 9 = 72, multiplying the two powers instead of adding them. 12 comes from misreading the powers as repeated multiplication of the base by the index, 2 × 3 + 3 × 2 = 6 + 6 = 12. −1 comes from working out 8 − 9 = −1, subtracting the powers instead of adding them. Answer: 17.
9. (b) −1 — Method: in the form y = mx + c the gradient m is the number multiplying x, and an x term written with no number in front of it has a coefficient of 1. Working: y = −x + 3 is the same equation as y = (−1)x + 3, so comparing it with y = mx + c gives m = −1 and c = 3. Answer: −1. The distractors: 1 comes from taking the coefficient as 1 and leaving the minus sign out of the answer; 3 comes from reading the constant as the gradient, confusing m with c; −3 comes from moving the minus sign across to the constant term and then reading the gradient off that term instead of the x term.
10. (a) No — the three probabilities sum to 1.10, over 1. — Winning, drawing and losing are exhaustive and mutually exclusive, so their probabilities must sum to exactly 1. Adding Freddie's three values gives 0.45 + 0.3 + 0.35 = 1.10, which is more than 1, so his probabilities cannot all be correct: 'No — the three probabilities sum to 1.10, over 1.' Checking only that each value lies between 0 and 1 accepts them as 'Yes — each probability lies between 0 and 1' without ever adding the three together. Judging by which outcome sounds most likely leads to 'Yes — winning has the highest single probability', which never checks the total either. Noting that a runner cannot win, draw and lose at once, and treating that alone as enough, gives 'Yes — the three outcomes are mutually exclusive' — but mutually exclusive outcomes that are also exhaustive must still sum to 1, and 1.10 does not.
11. (c) 3 or −5 — Method: a point a fixed distance from another can lie on either side of it, so move the given distance in each direction from the starting point. Working: moving 4 units to the right gives −1 + 4 = 3, and moving 4 units to the left gives −1 − 4 = −5. Answer: 3 or −5. The distractors: 5 or −3 comes from starting at 1 instead of −1, giving 1 + 4 and 1 − 4; 3 only comes from moving to the right and forgetting that the point could lie to the left as well; 4 or −4 comes from measuring the distance from zero instead of from point A, which just repeats the given distance.
12. (a) 11 — 2n − 7 = 15, so adding 7 to both sides gives 2n = 22, and dividing by 2 gives n = 11. A candidate who makes a sign error and forms the equation 2n + 7 = 15 gets 2n = 8 and n = 4. A candidate who correctly adds 7 to get 2n = 22 but forgets to divide by 2 gets n = 22. A candidate who ignores the −7 altogether and solves 2n = 15 gets n = 7.5.