Printable · GCSE Foundation · ages 14-16
Statistics worksheet — GCSE Foundation
Fifteen questions across the statistics statements at Foundation tier. Choose the non-calculator filter to rehearse Paper 1, which counts for a third of the marks.
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Answer key: Statistics worksheet — GCSE Foundation
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- (d) It asks two things at once and invites agreement — Method: a survey question is faulty when a reply to it cannot be read as evidence about one single thing, so check how many claims it contains and whether its wording pushes the reader one way. Working: the question joins two separate claims, that learning matters and that more homework should be set, so a reply of yes could mean either of them or both and cannot be counted as evidence about homework; the opening words “Do you agree” also invite agreement instead of leaving the reader free to say no. Answer: it asks two things at once and invites agreement. The distractors: the reply calling it too short mistakes length for clarity, when the fault is that too much has been packed in rather than too little; the reply about long words is false, since every word in the question is an everyday one and the fault lies in what is being asked rather than in the vocabulary used to ask it; the reply that the question is fine takes a yes or no answer as proof that the question works, which is exactly what a double question defeats.
- (a) 30 — Method: an outlier is a value that lies far away from the pattern set by the rest of the data, so compare each value with the group the others form. Working: five of the counts, 5, 7, 8, 9 and 11, lie within 6 of one another and the steps between them are 2, 1, 1 and 2; the remaining count of 30 is 19 above the nearest of them, so it is the value that does not belong to the pattern. Answer: 30. The distractors: 5 comes from picking the smallest value, on the idea that the odd one out must be at the bottom of the list; 11 comes from ordering the data and stopping one value short, taking the largest of the counts that sit close together; 8.5 comes from working out the median, (8 + 9) ÷ 2, and giving a measure of centre where a value standing apart was asked for.
- (a) Priya — A line of best fit should be drawn so that the plotted points are roughly balanced above and below it. Work out the difference between the two counts for each pupil: Amir 10 − 2 = 8; Kofi 10 − 2 = 8 (10 below and 2 above); Leah 12 − 0 = 12; Priya 6 − 6 = 0. Priya's line has the smallest difference, an exact balance of 6 above and 6 below, so her line is drawn correctly. Amir's line has 10 of the 12 points above it, so it is drawn too low. Kofi's line has 10 of the 12 points below it, so it is drawn too high. Leah's line has every single point below it, so it is not a line of best fit at all.
- (a) No correlation — Shoe size has no real relationship with spelling ability, and the points here are scattered with no rising or falling trend, so this is no correlation. A positive correlation would show the points rising together, and a negative correlation would show them falling as one increases; neither pattern is present here. Strong correlation is not correct either, since strength only applies once a positive or negative trend exists, and there isn't one.
- (a) 1,400 and 1,240, so combine the samples for one estimate — Method: scale each sample up to the whole stock, then use the fact that a larger sample gives a more reliable estimate than a smaller one. Working: the first sample gives 35 ÷ 50 = 0.7 and 0.7 × 2,000 = 1,400 paperbacks; the second gives 31 ÷ 50 = 0.62 and 0.62 × 2,000 = 1,240 paperbacks. Two random samples of the same size are expected to differ a little, so neither estimate is wrong. Putting the two together gives 35 + 31 = 66 paperbacks in 100 books, and 66 ÷ 100 = 0.66 with 0.66 × 2,000 = 1,320, an estimate resting on twice as many books as either volunteer checked. Answer: 1,400 and 1,240, so combine the samples for one estimate. The distractors: keeping 1,400 because it is larger picks an estimate by its size, when both samples held 50 books and neither has a stronger claim; saying a volunteer must have miscounted assumes two random samples ought to agree exactly, which is precisely what random sampling does not promise; 1,750 and 1,550 come from 35 × 50 = 1,750 and 31 × 50 = 1,550, multiplying each count by the size of the sample instead of scaling by 2,000 ÷ 50.
- (a) No, 150 pupils are a tenth of the school, chosen at random — Method: judge a sample on two things, whether every member of the population had the same chance of being chosen, and whether the sample is large enough to carry a pattern. Working: the 150 pupils were drawn from the register of every pupil in the school, so no year group or set is shut out and no pupil chooses to take part; and 150 ÷ 1,500 = 0.1, so one pupil in ten has been asked. A random sample of that share is ample for an estimate of how long the school's pupils spend on homework. Answer: no, because 150 pupils are a tenth of the school and were chosen at random. The distractors: saying a random sample always gives the exact school figure reaches the same verdict for a reason that is false, since a second random sample of 150 would give a slightly different mean; saying 150 pupils cannot be picked at random from 1,500 treats randomness as something only a whole population can have, when drawing names from the register is exactly how a random sample is taken; saying that only asking all 1,500 could show anything rejects sampling altogether, which would leave no way to study any population too large to count.
- (a) 23 minutes — Method: the equation of a line of best fit converts a value of x into a predicted value of y, so substitute the known number of pages for x and evaluate. Working: x is the number of pages, so put x = 10 into y = 2x + 3. Multiplication is carried out before addition, so 2 × 10 + 3 = 23. Answer: 23 minutes, and it is a prediction of the trend rather than a promise about any one chapter. The distractors: 20 minutes comes from working out 2 × 10 and stopping there, leaving out the 3 that the line adds; 26 minutes comes from reading the equation as y = 2(x + 3), adding first and then doubling, so 2 × 13 = 26; 13 minutes comes from adding 10 and 3 and never using the gradient at all, which treats the 2 as though it were not there.
- (d) 38, and fairly confident, as 12 °C is inside the range — Method: substitute the forecast temperature into the equation of the line of best fit, then judge the prediction by where that temperature sits among the data the line was drawn from. Working: putting x = 12 into y = −3x + 74 gives −3 × 12 + 74 = 38, so the line predicts 38 hot chocolates. The recorded temperatures run from 4 °C to 18 °C, and 12 °C lies inside that interval, so this is interpolation, the safer kind of prediction. Answer: 38, and fairly confident, as 12 °C is inside the range; the owner should still expect the true figure to differ a little, since the points only lie near the line and not on it. The distractors: being completely certain treats a line of best fit as a rule that fixes each day's sales, when it describes a trend that individual days depart from; saying 12 °C is outside the range misreads the interval 4 °C to 18 °C, and the wrong warning would be attached to a sound prediction; 110 comes from −3 × 12 being taken as +36, giving 36 + 74 = 110, which loses the negative gradient and so predicts that a warm day sells more hot chocolate than a cold one.
- (d) 648 kg — Method: to estimate a total from a sample, multiply the sample's mean by the number of items in the whole population, then check the units the question asks for. Working: 32.4 g × 20,000 = 648,000 g. Converting to kilograms, 648,000 ÷ 1,000 = 648 kg. This is only an estimate, not an exact total, because it assumes every one of the 20,000 packets has exactly the sample mean mass, when in reality individual packets vary above and below it. Giving 1.62 kg multiplies the mean by 50, the SAMPLE size, instead of by 20,000, the number of packets actually made that day — this finds the total mass of the 50 sampled packets, not the day's production. Giving 32.4 kg treats the sample mean itself, in grams, as if it already were the day's total mass in kilograms, skipping the scaling up altogether. Giving 648,000 kg correctly scales the mean up to the whole day's production but never converts the answer from grams to kilograms, leaving it 1,000 times too large. Always scale a sample's mean up by the SIZE OF THE WHOLE POPULATION, and always finish by checking the units the question asks for.
- (c) Thursday — Method: on a bar chart the tallest bar belongs to the greatest value, so compare the five temperatures and then read off the day that the greatest one belongs to. Working: the temperatures are 20 °C, 22 °C, 18 °C, 25 °C and 23 °C; in order of size these are 18, 20, 22, 23 and 25, so the greatest temperature is 25 °C, and the day recorded with 25 °C is Thursday. Answer: Thursday — the answer is a day, not a temperature. The distractors: Friday comes from stopping at the final temperature listed instead of comparing all five; Wednesday comes from picking out the shortest bar, 18 °C, and so answering for the lowest temperature rather than the highest; Monday comes from writing down the first day in the chart without comparing any of the temperatures at all.
- (b) A line graph — Sales recorded at the end of each of the twelve months are time series data, and a line graph is the chart built to show how a value changes over time, with the points usually joined in order. A pie chart is for showing categorical data as shares of a whole, not a trend over time. A pictogram shows a frequency for separate categories using symbols, not a continuous trend. A scatter graph is for comparing two different variables against each other, not one variable over time.
- (d) The mode, because colours cannot be added or ordered — Method: an average can only be used on data that supports the operation it needs. A mean needs the values to be added and divided, a median needs them to be placed in order, and a range needs one value to be taken away from another; a mode needs only counting, so it is the average available when the data are categories rather than numbers. Working: the data collected here are colours, silver, black, blue and red. The numbers 74, 52, 40 and 34 count the cars of each colour, they do not measure them, and 74 + 52 + 40 + 34 = 200 simply returns the size of the survey. No colour can be added to another, and there is no order that puts blue before red, so of the four averages only the one found by counting survives. Answer: the mode, because colours cannot be added or ordered, and the mode is silver. The distractors: the mean is said to use all 200 colours, and a mean of the four frequencies, 200 ÷ 4 = 50, is a number of cars rather than a colour, so it describes nothing about a typical car; the median is said to put the colours in order, but ordering the frequencies 34, 40, 52, 74 orders the counts, not the colours, and gives 46, again a number of cars; the range is not an average at all, and 74 − 34 = 40 measures the gap between the commonest and rarest counts, which is a measure of spread.
- (a) Negative correlation — As the age of the car increases, the points fall towards a lower value, so the value decreases as the age increases. This falling pattern is a negative correlation. A positive correlation would show the points rising together instead. No correlation would apply only if the points showed no pattern at all, and correlation is not the same as causation — strong causation is not a type of correlation.
- (d) 75 — Method: to find a total from a bar chart, add together the height of every bar. Working: 12 + 18 + 9 + 15 + 21 = 75 books. Leaving out Wednesday's bar by mistake, 12 + 18 + 15 + 21 = 66, misses one day out of the total. Giving 21 states only Friday's bar, the tallest one, not the total of all five days. Dividing the total by the number of days, 75 ÷ 5 = 15, finds the mean number of books per day, not the total borrowed. Add up every single bar — do not stop at the biggest one, and do not divide once you have added them all.
- (c) Height 170 cm, mass 65 kg — Method: a point on a scatter graph is written as a pair of coordinates in which the horizontal value is written first and the vertical value second, so each value is matched to the quantity named on its own axis. Working: in (170, 65) the value 170 is the horizontal coordinate and the horizontal axis shows height in centimetres, so the height is 170 cm; the value 65 is the vertical coordinate and the vertical axis shows mass in kilograms, so the mass is 65 kg. Answer: height 170 cm, mass 65 kg, each with the unit named on its own axis. The distractors: height 65 cm and mass 170 kg come from reading the pair the wrong way round, which would describe an impossible person; height 170 cm and mass 170 kg come from reading the horizontal coordinate for both quantities and never using the second number; height 235 cm and mass 105 kg come from combining the two coordinates, 170 + 65 and 170 − 65, instead of reading them separately.
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