Printable · GCSE Foundation · ages 14-16
Statistics worksheet — GCSE Foundation
Fifteen questions across the statistics statements at Foundation tier. Choose the non-calculator filter to rehearse Paper 1, which counts for a third of the marks.
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Answer key: Statistics worksheet — GCSE Foundation
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- (d) Route 1, as its times vary by 6 minutes rather than 20 — Method: work out an average and a measure of spread for each route, then decide which matters to a commuter who must arrive on time every day. Working: for Route 1, 22 + 23 + 24 + 24 + 25 + 25 + 26 + 26 + 27 + 28 = 250 and 250 ÷ 10 = 25, so the mean is 25 minutes, and the range is 28 − 22 = 6 minutes. For Route 2, 18 + 19 + 20 + 20 + 21 + 22 + 26 + 30 + 36 + 38 = 250 and 250 ÷ 10 = 25, so the mean is also 25 minutes, but the range is 38 − 18 = 20 minutes. The means give no reason to prefer either route; the spreads do, because a commuter who must never be late has to allow for the worst day, which is 28 minutes on Route 1 and 38 minutes on Route 2. Answer: Route 1, as its times vary by 6 minutes rather than 20. The distractors: saying Route 2 has the lower mean assumes that its quicker-looking early times must pull the average down, when both routes total 250 minutes over the ten days; choosing Route 2 for its fastest journey of 18 minutes judges a route by its best day, and the commuter has to survive its worst; saying either route will do uses the equal means and ignores the spread altogether, which is the one thing that separates the two routes.
- (b) Interpolation — The salary is being estimated for a value of x between 1 and 15, which is inside the range of x-values that were actually plotted, so this is interpolation. Extrapolation would apply if the estimate used a value of x below 1 or above 15, outside the plotted range. Correlation describes the relationship between the two variables, not the reliability of an estimate, and causation describes one variable actually causing a change in the other, which is a different idea altogether — neither is the word being asked for here.
- (a) x = 0 gives y = −20: a negative number sold — The y-intercept is the value the line predicts when x = 0: y = 3 × 0 − 20 = −20. A kiosk cannot sell a negative number of ice creams, so this is not a sensible estimate. The 3 in the equation is the gradient, not the intercept, so an option claiming x = 0 gives y = 3 has swapped the two numbers around — substituting x = 0 makes the 3x term equal 0, leaving −20, not 3. The danger of extrapolating to very high temperatures is a real issue with this line, but it is a different issue from the y-intercept, so it does not answer this question. And whether x = 0 could occur on a trading day is beside the point: the model still makes that prediction, and it is the prediction itself, −20, that is impossible.
- (c) A line of best fit — Method: the straight line drawn on a scatter graph is named from the job it does — it is chosen so that it follows the whole set of points as closely as possible. Working: the line passes through the middle of the points, with roughly as many points above it as below it, and it need not pass through any of the plotted points at all; the name given to the straight line chosen in that way is a line of best fit. Answer: a line of best fit. The distractors: a line of symmetry comes from confusing a trend with symmetry, which is a property of a shape rather than of a set of data; a horizontal line through the mean comes from thinking the trend is shown by an average, when a horizontal line would say that the vertical quantity does not change and so show no correlation; a line joining the first and last points comes from thinking the line must join the two extreme points, which lets two points decide a trend that all of the points should share in.
- (a) Leeds has a higher median and a greater range than York. — In order, Leeds's temperatures are 14, 16, 18, 19 and 23, so the median is the middle value, 18, and the range is 23 − 14 = 9. York's temperatures in order are 15, 17, 17, 18 and 18, so the median is 17, and the range is 18 − 15 = 3. Since 18 is higher than 17, and 9 is greater than 3, Leeds has both the higher median and the greater range. Choosing 'Leeds has a higher median but a smaller range than York' gets the median comparison right but the range comparison backwards — Leeds's range of 9 is actually greater than York's range of 3. Choosing 'York has a higher median and a greater range than Leeds' reverses both comparisons. Choosing 'York has a higher median but a smaller range than Leeds' reverses the median comparison; York's median of 17 is lower than Leeds's 18, even though it is correct that York's range is the smaller one.
- (d) 29 — Method: with an even number of values there is no single middle value, so the median is the mean of the two values either side of the middle. Working: the six numbers are already in order and 6 ÷ 2 = 3, so the middle pair are the third and fourth values, 22 and 36; their mean is (22 + 36) ÷ 2 = 58 ÷ 2 = 29. Answer: 29, which lies between the two middle values as a median of an even data set must. The distractors: 22 comes from taking the lower of the two middle values and stopping there instead of averaging the pair; 36 comes from taking the larger value of that pair because it sits just past the halfway point of the list; 34 comes from working out the range, 47 − 13, instead of a measure of centre.
- (d) The mode, because colours cannot be added or ordered — Method: an average can only be used on data that supports the operation it needs. A mean needs the values to be added and divided, a median needs them to be placed in order, and a range needs one value to be taken away from another; a mode needs only counting, so it is the average available when the data are categories rather than numbers. Working: the data collected here are colours, silver, black, blue and red. The numbers 74, 52, 40 and 34 count the cars of each colour, they do not measure them, and 74 + 52 + 40 + 34 = 200 simply returns the size of the survey. No colour can be added to another, and there is no order that puts blue before red, so of the four averages only the one found by counting survives. Answer: the mode, because colours cannot be added or ordered, and the mode is silver. The distractors: the mean is said to use all 200 colours, and a mean of the four frequencies, 200 ÷ 4 = 50, is a number of cars rather than a colour, so it describes nothing about a typical car; the median is said to put the colours in order, but ordering the frequencies 34, 40, 52, 74 orders the counts, not the colours, and gives 46, again a number of cars; the range is not an average at all, and 74 − 34 = 40 measures the gap between the commonest and rarest counts, which is a measure of spread.
- (b) 74 marks — Method: the two groups are different sizes, so their means cannot simply be averaged — rebuild each group's total mark, add the totals and divide by all 50 pupils. Working: Group A scored 20 × 80 = 1600 marks and Group B scored 30 × 70 = 2100 marks, giving 1600 + 2100 = 3700 marks altogether, so the overall mean is 3700 ÷ 50 = 74 marks. Answer: 74 marks, which sits nearer to 70 than to 80 because the larger group scored 70. The distractors: 75 marks comes from averaging the two group means, (80 + 70) ÷ 2, as though the groups were the same size; 76 marks comes from attaching each mean to the other group's size, (20 × 70 + 30 × 80) ÷ 50; 150 marks comes from adding the two means together and never dividing at all.
- (d) 19 kg — Method: estimate the mean of grouped data by multiplying each class's midpoint by its frequency, adding the four totals, then dividing by the total frequency. Working: the midpoints are 5, 15, 25 and 35 kg. The weighted totals are 11 × 5 = 55, 5 × 15 = 75, 5 × 25 = 125 and 9 × 35 = 315, which add to 570. Dividing by the 30 dogs gives an estimate of 570 ÷ 30 = 19 kg. Giving 5 kg reads off the midpoint of the modal class, 0 < m ≤ 10, the class with the most dogs — but the class with the most dogs is not where the mean falls, and neither is a substitute for actually calculating it. Giving 20 kg averages the four midpoints, (5 + 15 + 25 + 35) ÷ 4, treating every class as equally likely and ignoring that far more dogs are in the lightest and heaviest classes than in the middle two. Giving 570 kg stops after finding the correct weighted total and forgets the final division by the 30 dogs. Always weight each midpoint by its own frequency, and always finish by dividing by the total frequency, not the number of classes.
- (c) The data show a link only; a third factor may affect both — Method: a study of this kind measures two quantities and reports how they change together; deciding that one of them produces the other is a further claim, and it needs evidence that the measurements alone cannot give. Working: the study shows that more coffee goes with better concentration, which is a positive correlation; but a third factor that was never measured, such as how motivated someone is, could raise both the coffee drinking and the concentration, and the concentration could equally be what leads to the extra coffee. Answer: the data show a link only, because a third factor may be affecting both quantities, so no claim about cause can be made. The distractors: calling the conclusion safe because the correlation is positive treats the direction of a correlation as proof of cause, which no direction can give; calling it wrong because the correlation is negative misreads the direction of the relationship, since the study reports both quantities rising together; saying the two quantities are not linked denies the correlation the study actually found, when what fails is only the claim about cause.
- (d) Both the mean and the range increase. — The original mean is 150 + 152 + 155 + 158 + 160 = 775, and 775 ÷ 5 = 155 cm; the original range is 160 − 150 = 10 cm. Including the new height of 170 cm gives a new total of 775 + 170 = 945, and 945 ÷ 6 = 157.5 cm, which is higher than 155 cm, and a new range of 170 − 150 = 20 cm, which is higher than 10 cm, so both the mean and the range increase. Saying the range stays the same ignores that 170 cm is a new, higher maximum than the old 160 cm. Saying the mean stays the same ignores that 170 cm is above the original mean of 155 cm, which pulls the average up. Saying both decrease is the opposite of what happens here.
- (c) 72 — Method: when a pie chart is divided into equal sectors, each sector stands for the same share of the people asked, so the fraction of the sectors that are shaded is also the fraction of the people. Working: 6 sectors out of 10 are purple, which is the fraction 6/10 of the whole pie chart; one tenth of the 120 people is 120 ÷ 10 = 12 people, so six tenths is 6 × 12 = 72 people. Answer: 72 people, a count of people rather than a number of sectors. The distractors: 48 comes from working with the 4 sectors that are not purple, 4 × 12, and so answering for the wrong part of the chart; 60 comes from turning the fraction 6/10 into 60% and then writing the 60 down as though it were a number of people; 6 comes from writing down the number of purple sectors instead of the number of people those sectors stand for.
- (d) An outlier from the damaged wing, not the trend. — That bird's point lies a long way from the rising trend followed by every other bird, and its low wingspan is explained by the damaged wing rather than by its age — it is an outlier caused by an unusual factor, not part of the general relationship between age and wingspan, so it should not be used when drawing the line of best fit. Saying every point must be used ignores that an outlier caused by a separate, identifiable factor can rightly be set aside. Saying it shows no correlation ignores that the other 19 points do show a clear rising trend; one outlier does not remove that. Saying it proves the line is inaccurate confuses one unusual bird with a fault in the line itself, when the line correctly describes the trend followed by the rest of the data.
- (a) The means are equal, and Class B's marks are the more consistent because its range is smaller. — Method: comparing two distributions needs two things — a measure of average and a measure of spread — and each must be put into the context of the question. Working: both classes have a mean mark of 70, so on average the two classes scored the same; the range measures spread, and Class A's range of 30 marks is three times Class B's range of 10 marks, so Class B's marks sit closely around the mean while Class A's are far more spread out. Answer: the means are equal, and Class B's marks are the more consistent because its range is smaller. The distractors: the reply crediting Class A with more consistency reverses the meaning of the range, treating a larger range as tighter data when a larger range means more spread; the reply that Class A's mean mark is higher compares the wrong pair of figures, reading the range of 30 as an average; the reply that Class B's mean mark is higher reads the spread correctly but its claim about the means is false, since both means are 70.
- (b) At 0 guests, the model predicts 2 m of table — The y-intercept of a line of best fit y = mx + c is the value of y when x = 0. Here y = 0.5 × 0 + 2 = 2, so the line predicts a table length of 2 m when there are 0 guests. The 2 m does not grow as more guests arrive — that role belongs to the gradient, 0.5 — so an option saying each extra guest adds 2 m has swapped the two numbers around. The 2 is a length in metres, not a number of guests, so an option requiring 2 guests before set-up has misread its units. And the table length does change with x, since it is 0.5x + 2 and not a fixed value, so an option claiming the table is always 2 m ignores the 0.5x term completely.
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