Printable · GCSE Foundation · ages 14-16
Statistics worksheet — GCSE Foundation
Fifteen questions across the statistics statements at Foundation tier. Choose the non-calculator filter to rehearse Paper 1, which counts for a third of the marks.
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Answer key: Statistics worksheet — GCSE Foundation
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- (d) 38, and fairly confident, as 12 °C is inside the range — Method: substitute the forecast temperature into the equation of the line of best fit, then judge the prediction by where that temperature sits among the data the line was drawn from. Working: putting x = 12 into y = −3x + 74 gives −3 × 12 + 74 = 38, so the line predicts 38 hot chocolates. The recorded temperatures run from 4 °C to 18 °C, and 12 °C lies inside that interval, so this is interpolation, the safer kind of prediction. Answer: 38, and fairly confident, as 12 °C is inside the range; the owner should still expect the true figure to differ a little, since the points only lie near the line and not on it. The distractors: being completely certain treats a line of best fit as a rule that fixes each day's sales, when it describes a trend that individual days depart from; saying 12 °C is outside the range misreads the interval 4 °C to 18 °C, and the wrong warning would be attached to a sound prediction; 110 comes from −3 × 12 being taken as +36, giving 36 + 74 = 110, which loses the negative gradient and so predicts that a warm day sells more hot chocolate than a cold one.
- (d) 44 — Method: the frequency of a category in a frequency table is the number of times that category was counted, and it is read from the row for that category. Working: the rows of the table pair each colour with its count, and the row for black is paired with the count 44, so the frequency of black cars is 44. Answer: 44 cars — a frequency is a count of cars, not a colour and not a percentage. The distractors: 37 comes from reading the count paired with silver, that is from reading the wrong row of the table; 137 comes from adding every count in the table, 44 + 37 + 26 + 18 + 12, which gives the total number of cars rather than the frequency of one colour; 5 comes from counting how many different colours the table lists instead of how many cars were black.
- (d) Correlation is a link; causation is one causing the other — Method: the two words describe different claims — one is about a pattern in the data, the other is about what produced that pattern. Working: correlation says only that two quantities tend to change together, which is something a scatter graph can display; causation says that a change in one quantity actually brings about the change in the other, which needs evidence a scatter graph cannot supply, because a third quantity may be driving both. Answer: correlation is a link between the quantities, while causation is one quantity causing the change in another. The distractors: the statement giving causation as the link and correlation as the cause simply swaps the two words over; the statement that the words mean the same thing is the classic error of reading a correlation as proof of cause; the statement that a scatter graph shows causation but not correlation reverses what a scatter graph can do, since the pattern it displays is exactly the correlation.
- (d) 648 kg — Method: to estimate a total from a sample, multiply the sample's mean by the number of items in the whole population, then check the units the question asks for. Working: 32.4 g × 20,000 = 648,000 g. Converting to kilograms, 648,000 ÷ 1,000 = 648 kg. This is only an estimate, not an exact total, because it assumes every one of the 20,000 packets has exactly the sample mean mass, when in reality individual packets vary above and below it. Giving 1.62 kg multiplies the mean by 50, the SAMPLE size, instead of by 20,000, the number of packets actually made that day — this finds the total mass of the 50 sampled packets, not the day's production. Giving 32.4 kg treats the sample mean itself, in grams, as if it already were the day's total mass in kilograms, skipping the scaling up altogether. Giving 648,000 kg correctly scales the mean up to the whole day's production but never converts the answer from grams to kilograms, leaving it 1,000 times too large. Always scale a sample's mean up by the SIZE OF THE WHOLE POPULATION, and always finish by checking the units the question asks for.
- (a) 26 — Method: a line of best fit lets one quantity be predicted from the other, so the score is substituted into the equation of the line and the resulting inequality is solved for the number of hours. Working: a score of at least 80 means 2.5x + 15 ≥ 80; taking 15 from both sides gives 2.5x ≥ 65, and dividing both sides by 2.5 gives x ≥ 26, so the least whole number of hours is 26. Checking, 2.5 × 26 + 15 = 80, which does reach the target. Answer: 26 hours — and this is only an estimate, because a line of best fit predicts a trend rather than an individual result, and a prediction made outside the range of hours the pupils actually revised for would be an extrapolation and less reliable still. The distractors: 27 comes from reaching 26 and then rounding up again, although 26 hours already gives a score of exactly 80; 32 comes from 80 ÷ 2.5, which ignores the 15 in the equation of the line; 38 comes from (80 + 15) ÷ 2.5, that is from adding the 15 instead of subtracting it when rearranging.
- (d) The mode, because colours cannot be added or ordered — Method: an average can only be used on data that supports the operation it needs. A mean needs the values to be added and divided, a median needs them to be placed in order, and a range needs one value to be taken away from another; a mode needs only counting, so it is the average available when the data are categories rather than numbers. Working: the data collected here are colours, silver, black, blue and red. The numbers 74, 52, 40 and 34 count the cars of each colour, they do not measure them, and 74 + 52 + 40 + 34 = 200 simply returns the size of the survey. No colour can be added to another, and there is no order that puts blue before red, so of the four averages only the one found by counting survives. Answer: the mode, because colours cannot be added or ordered, and the mode is silver. The distractors: the mean is said to use all 200 colours, and a mean of the four frequencies, 200 ÷ 4 = 50, is a number of cars rather than a colour, so it describes nothing about a typical car; the median is said to put the colours in order, but ordering the frequencies 34, 40, 52, 74 orders the counts, not the colours, and gives 46, again a number of cars; the range is not an average at all, and 74 − 34 = 40 measures the gap between the commonest and rarest counts, which is a measure of spread.
- (b) Treat them as outliers and check them before deciding — Method: a point lying a long way from the pattern the rest of the data make is called an outlier, and an outlier is investigated before anything is done with it, because it may be an error in the data or it may be a genuine but unusual case. Working: 48 of the 50 points lie close to the rising line of best fit, so the trend is set by those 48; the two remaining points do not follow it, so they are identified as outliers and checked — a mistake in measuring or recording would be corrected, while a genuine reading would be kept and reported. Answer: treat them as outliers and check them before deciding what to do with them. The distractors: deleting them at once assumes that every point far from the line must be an error, which throws away real data; moving the line so that it passes through them assumes a line of best fit must touch particular points, when it is drawn to follow all 50; taking them as proof that there is no correlation lets two points overturn the pattern that the other 48 agree on.
- (c) 90° — Method: the sectors of a pie chart share the 360° at the centre of the chart in the same proportion as the data, so a sector's angle is its share of the data multiplied by 360°. Working: a share of 25% is the fraction 25/100, which is one quarter of the whole chart, and one quarter of 360° is 360 ÷ 4 = 90°. Answer: 90°, an angle in degrees rather than a percentage. The distractors: 25° comes from sharing out 100 instead of 360, so the percentage is written straight down as a number of degrees; 14.4° comes from dividing 360 by 25 instead of multiplying 360 by the fraction 25/100, which is the division done the wrong way round; 45° comes from taking a quarter of 180° instead of a quarter of 360°, treating the pie chart as a semicircle.
- (d) 19 kg — Method: estimate the mean of grouped data by multiplying each class's midpoint by its frequency, adding the four totals, then dividing by the total frequency. Working: the midpoints are 5, 15, 25 and 35 kg. The weighted totals are 11 × 5 = 55, 5 × 15 = 75, 5 × 25 = 125 and 9 × 35 = 315, which add to 570. Dividing by the 30 dogs gives an estimate of 570 ÷ 30 = 19 kg. Giving 5 kg reads off the midpoint of the modal class, 0 < m ≤ 10, the class with the most dogs — but the class with the most dogs is not where the mean falls, and neither is a substitute for actually calculating it. Giving 20 kg averages the four midpoints, (5 + 15 + 25 + 35) ÷ 4, treating every class as equally likely and ignoring that far more dogs are in the lightest and heaviest classes than in the middle two. Giving 570 kg stops after finding the correct weighted total and forgets the final division by the 30 dogs. Always weight each midpoint by its own frequency, and always finish by dividing by the total frequency, not the number of classes.
- (c) Height 170 cm, mass 65 kg — Method: a point on a scatter graph is written as a pair of coordinates in which the horizontal value is written first and the vertical value second, so each value is matched to the quantity named on its own axis. Working: in (170, 65) the value 170 is the horizontal coordinate and the horizontal axis shows height in centimetres, so the height is 170 cm; the value 65 is the vertical coordinate and the vertical axis shows mass in kilograms, so the mass is 65 kg. Answer: height 170 cm, mass 65 kg, each with the unit named on its own axis. The distractors: height 65 cm and mass 170 kg come from reading the pair the wrong way round, which would describe an impossible person; height 170 cm and mass 170 kg come from reading the horizontal coordinate for both quantities and never using the second number; height 235 cm and mass 105 kg come from combining the two coordinates, 170 + 65 and 170 − 65, instead of reading them separately.
- (d) The modal class, as the class with most pupils is shown — Method: a grouped frequency table records how many values fall into each class, but not the values themselves, so any average that needs the individual times can only be estimated from it. Working: the four frequencies are 8, 12, 6 and 4, and 8 + 12 + 6 + 4 = 30, so every pupil is counted. The largest frequency is 12, which belongs to the class 10 < t ≤ 20, and that class can be written down exactly, because finding it needs nothing but the counts the table already gives. Answer: the modal class, as the class with most pupils is shown. The distractors: the mean is said to use all 30 times, but the table does not hold them; the usual method replaces each class by its midpoint, 5, 15, 25 and 35, which gives an estimate of the mean and not its true value; the median is said to be shown, but the table locates only the class holding the 15th and 16th times, which is 10 < t ≤ 20, without saying what either time was; the range is said to be shown, but 0 and 40 are the boundaries of the first and last classes, not the fastest and slowest times actually recorded.
- (b) 20 — Method: each sector of a pie chart stands for a percentage of the whole set of data, so the number of pupils in a sector is that percentage of the total number of pupils. Working: the football sector is 50% and the whole pie chart stands for all 40 pupils, so the number of pupils is 50% of 40 = 0.5 × 40 = 20. Answer: 20 pupils, which is a count of pupils rather than a percentage. The distractors: 10 comes from taking the netball sector, 25% of 40, instead of the football sector; 80 comes from doubling the 40 pupils instead of halving them, which is what multiplying by 50% would do the wrong way round; 40 comes from writing down the total number of pupils in the class and never applying the percentage at all.
- (c) Strong negative correlation — Method: correlation is described by two things — the direction the points take as the graph is read from left to right, and how closely the points lie to a single straight line. Working: reading the pairs in order of age, the ages rise 14, 18, 23, 27, 31, 36, 42, 49 while the scores fall 92, 88, 85, 80, 78, 74, 70, 65; the score falls at every single step, with no reversal anywhere, so the points fall from left to right and lie close to a straight line. Answer: strong negative correlation — negative for the falling direction, strong because every point follows the pattern. The distractors: strong positive correlation comes from noticing a clear pattern and calling any clear pattern positive, without checking the direction; weak negative correlation comes from reading the direction correctly but judging points that do not lie exactly on a straight line to be only loosely related, when these eight fall without a single exception; no correlation comes from reading a falling trend as though it showed no relationship at all, when a falling trend is itself a relationship.
- (b) Interpolation — The salary is being estimated for a value of x between 1 and 15, which is inside the range of x-values that were actually plotted, so this is interpolation. Extrapolation would apply if the estimate used a value of x below 1 or above 15, outside the plotted range. Correlation describes the relationship between the two variables, not the reliability of an estimate, and causation describes one variable actually causing a change in the other, which is a different idea altogether — neither is the word being asked for here.
- (c) 20 kg ≤ mass < 30 kg — The modal class is the class with the highest frequency. Reading the plotted points, the frequencies are 6, 10, 16, 6 and 2, so the highest frequency is 16, plotted at the midpoint 25. A class of width 10 centred on 25 runs from 25 − 5 = 20 to 25 + 5 = 30, so the modal class is 20 kg ≤ mass < 30 kg. Writing '25 kg' gives only the midpoint, not the class — the modal class is an interval, not a single value. '10 kg ≤ mass < 20 kg' is the class before the peak, centred on 15, which has frequency 10, not the highest. '30 kg ≤ mass < 40 kg' is the class after the peak, centred on 35, which has frequency 6, not the highest.
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