Printable · GCSE Higher · ages 14-16
Statistics worksheet — GCSE Higher
Fifteen questions across the statistics statements at Higher tier. Choose the non-calculator filter to rehearse Paper 1, which counts for a third of the marks.
Statistics worksheet — GCSE Higher
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- 1.There are 10,000 pupils in a city. A researcher picks a sample of 500 of them by drawing names at random from a list of every pupil in the city. Give the reason why this method gives a representative sample.
- 2.The 120 pupils in Year 11 at a school sat a maths test. Their marks m are grouped into classes of unequal width: 0 ≤ m < 40, 12 pupils; 40 ≤ m < 60, 24 pupils; 60 ≤ m < 70, 36 pupils; 70 ≤ m ≤ 100, 48 pupils. A histogram is drawn for these data. Work out the frequency density of the class 40 ≤ m < 60.
- 3.Two classes sat the same maths test, both marked out of 100. Class A had a mean mark of 70 and a range of 30 marks. Class B had a mean mark of 70 and a range of 10 marks. Compare the marks of the two classes.
- 4.A café owner in Brighton records the midday temperature, x °C, and the number of hot chocolates sold, y, on 12 days. The temperatures recorded run from 4 °C to 18 °C, and the line of best fit is y = −3x + 74. The forecast for tomorrow gives a midday temperature of 12 °C. Work out the number the line of best fit predicts, and write down how much confidence the owner can have in it.y = -3x + 74
- 5.An estate agent in Leeds lists the prices of the five houses sold on one street last year: £170,000, £150,000, £580,000, £140,000 and £160,000. A newspaper wants to print one figure for a typical price on this street. Work out the mean and the median, and write down which figure the newspaper should print.
- 6.A council in Leeds wants to know what local people think about letting shops stay open later in the evening. It rings landline telephone numbers between 10 am and 2 pm on a Tuesday. Write down which group is most likely to be under-represented in the sample, and give a reason for your answer.
- 7.A scatter graph shows the number of years of experience, x, of 18 sales assistants and their monthly sales, y hundred pounds. The plotted points run from x = 1 to x = 12 years, and the line of best fit is y = 4x + 20. A new assistant has 25 years of experience. Use the line of best fit to estimate a value of y for this assistant, and decide whether the estimate would be reliable.y = 4x + 20
- 8.The number of pets owned by each of 19 pupils in a class is recorded: 0 pets — 7 pupils, 1 pet — 3 pupils, 2 pets — 4 pupils, 3 pets — 5 pupils. Work out the median number of pets.
- 9.The marks scored by 11 pupils in a test are given in order: 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, 33, 36, 39, 42. Work out the lower quartile of these marks.
- 10.A factory makes 4,000 light bulbs a day. In a random sample of 80 of one day's bulbs, 3 were faulty. Work out an estimate for the number of faulty bulbs the factory makes in a day.
- 11.A garden centre's sales, in thousands of pounds, at the end of each quarter last year were: quarter 1 — 18, quarter 2 — 34, quarter 3 — 30, quarter 4 — 22. Work out the increase in sales from quarter 1 to the quarter with the highest sales.
- 12.For each of 30 fires in one county, the number of fire engines sent and the cost of the damage were recorded. The scatter graph of the data shows strong positive correlation. A newspaper prints the headline "Sending more fire engines causes more damage". Is the newspaper right? Give a reason for your answer.
- 13.A scatter graph shows the midday temperature, x °C, and the number of ice creams sold at a seaside kiosk, y. The line of best fit is y = 3x − 20. Give a reason why the y-intercept of this line of best fit is not a sensible estimate of the number of ice creams sold.y = 3x − 20
- 14.A garden centre records the heights, in cm, of eleven seedlings. In order, the heights are 5, 9, x, 17, 20, 24, 28, 31, 35, 40, 44, where x is unknown. The interquartile range of the eleven heights is 19 cm. Work out the value of x.
- 15.A histogram shows the ages, in years, of 250 members of a running club. The bar for the class 10 ≤ age < 20 has a frequency density of 4.5 members per year, the bar for 20 ≤ age < 35 has a frequency density of 6 members per year, and the bar for 50 ≤ age < 70 has a frequency density of 2.75 members per year. Work out the frequency of the remaining class, 35 ≤ age < 50.
Answer key
- (c) Because every pupil has an equal chance of being picked — Method: whether a sample represents its population is decided by the selection method, not by the size of the sample, so ask whether the method gives every member of the population the same chance of being chosen. Working: the names are drawn at random from a list of all 10,000 pupils, so each pupil has the same chance, 500 out of 10,000, of being drawn, and no group of pupils is more likely to appear than any other; that is what keeps bias out of the sample. Answer: because every pupil has an equal chance of being picked. The distractors: the reply about 5% treats the sampling fraction as the test of fairness, but a badly chosen 5% is still biased and a well chosen 1% is not; the reply about 500 being large enough makes size the test instead, which is the same mistake in another form, since a large sample drawn from one school would still misrepresent the city; the reply about the most willing pupils describes self-selection, which hands the choice of who is in the sample to the pupils who feel most strongly about the question.
- (d) 1.2 pupils per mark — Method: on a histogram whose class intervals are not all the same width the height of a bar is not the frequency but the frequency density, found by dividing the frequency of the class by the width of that class, so that the area of the bar represents the frequency. Working: the class 40 ≤ m < 60 holds 24 pupils, and its width is 60 − 40 = 20 marks, so the frequency density is 24 ÷ 20 = 1.2. Answer: 1.2 pupils per mark. The distractors: 24 pupils per mark comes from plotting the frequency itself as the height, which is only correct when every class has the same width; 2.4 pupils per mark comes from dividing by 10, the width of the narrowest class, instead of by the width of this class; 0.2 pupils per mark comes from dividing by the 120 pupils in the year group, which gives the proportion of pupils in the class and not a frequency density.
- (a) The means are equal, and Class B's marks are the more consistent because its range is smaller. — Method: comparing two distributions needs two things — a measure of average and a measure of spread — and each must be put into the context of the question. Working: both classes have a mean mark of 70, so on average the two classes scored the same; the range measures spread, and Class A's range of 30 marks is three times Class B's range of 10 marks, so Class B's marks sit closely around the mean while Class A's are far more spread out. Answer: the means are equal, and Class B's marks are the more consistent because its range is smaller. The distractors: the reply crediting Class A with more consistency reverses the meaning of the range, treating a larger range as tighter data when a larger range means more spread; the reply that Class A's mean mark is higher compares the wrong pair of figures, reading the range of 30 as an average; the reply that Class B's mean mark is higher reads the spread correctly but its claim about the means is false, since both means are 70.
- (d) 38, and fairly confident, as 12 °C is inside the range — Method: substitute the forecast temperature into the equation of the line of best fit, then judge the prediction by where that temperature sits among the data the line was drawn from. Working: putting x = 12 into y = −3x + 74 gives −3 × 12 + 74 = 38, so the line predicts 38 hot chocolates. The recorded temperatures run from 4 °C to 18 °C, and 12 °C lies inside that interval, so this is interpolation, the safer kind of prediction. Answer: 38, and fairly confident, as 12 °C is inside the range; the owner should still expect the true figure to differ a little, since the points only lie near the line and not on it. The distractors: being completely certain treats a line of best fit as a rule that fixes each day's sales, when it describes a trend that individual days depart from; saying 12 °C is outside the range misreads the interval 4 °C to 18 °C, and the wrong warning would be attached to a sound prediction; 110 comes from −3 × 12 being taken as +36, giving 36 + 74 = 110, which loses the negative gradient and so predicts that a warm day sells more hot chocolate than a cold one.
- (c) The median, £160,000, as one very high price lifts the mean — Method: find both averages, then choose the one that sits closer to the bulk of the data. Working: in order the prices are 140,000, 150,000, 160,000, 170,000 and 580,000, so the median is the third of the five, £160,000. For the mean, 140,000 + 150,000 + 160,000 + 170,000 + 580,000 = 1,200,000 and 1,200,000 ÷ 5 = 240,000, so the mean is £240,000. Four of the five houses sold for £170,000 or less, so a reader told that a typical price is £240,000 would expect to pay at least £70,000 more than any of those four cost. Answer: the median, £160,000, as one very high price lifts the mean. The distractors: £580,000 is the middle value of the list as it is printed, which is the median only when the values have first been put in order; £240,000 is the mean, chosen on the ground that a median ignores three of the five prices, but a median uses all five to find which one is central and is then untroubled by how extreme the outer values are; £155,000 comes from deleting the £580,000 house and taking the mean of what is left, since 140,000 + 150,000 + 160,000 + 170,000 = 620,000 and 620,000 ÷ 4 = 155,000, but a real sale may not be thrown away merely for being large.
- (d) Full-time workers, as most are at work at that time — Method: a sample is biased when the method of contact makes part of the population much less likely to be reached, so test each group against where its members actually are between 10 am and 2 pm on a weekday, and test each stated reason against the facts. Working: those hours are the middle of the working day, so people in full-time employment are at work and not beside a landline telephone, while people who are retired and people who are unemployed are far more likely to be at home and are reached at the usual rate; the method therefore collects far fewer replies from full-time workers than their share of the adult population the council is consulting. Answer: full-time workers, as most are at work at that time. The distractors: the reply naming retired people rests on the false claim that most retired people are at work in the daytime, when in fact a daytime call reaches them more easily than anyone; the reply naming unemployed people rests on the false claim that they are out during the day, when they too are among the easiest people to reach by a daytime call; the reply naming children rests on the false claim that children are at home at 11 am on a Tuesday, when they are at school and so are not reached by the call at all, and school-age children are in any case not the adults whose views the council is collecting.
- (b) 120, unreliable — x = 25 is outside 1 to 12 — The line of best fit is y = 4x + 20. 4 × 25 = 100, and 100 + 20 = 120, so the estimate is y = 120. But x = 25 lies far outside the plotted range of 1 to 12 years, so this is an extrapolation, and the estimate is not reliable. Reaching 100 instead of 120 comes from 4 × 25 = 100 with the intercept of 20 left out — still correctly flagged as unreliable, but the wrong value. Calling the estimate reliable simply because it was calculated correctly, giving 120, wrongly assumes that a correct calculation is automatically trustworthy, ignoring that x = 25 lies far beyond the data actually collected. Reaching 68, from 4 × 12 = 48 and 48 + 20 = 68, substitutes x = 12, the top of the plotted range, instead of the assistant's actual x = 25, and wrongly calls that reliable because 12 lies inside the range.
- (b) 1 — Method: for data in a frequency table, find the position of the median using (n + 1) ÷ 2, then read off the value at that position from the cumulative frequencies. Working: there are 19 pupils, so the median is the 10th value. The cumulative frequencies are 7 (up to 0 pets), 10 (up to 1 pet), 14 (up to 2 pets) and 19 (up to 3 pets). The 10th value falls at the end of the '1 pet' group, so the median is 1 pet. Giving 0 pets is the mode — the category with the highest frequency, 7 — not the median. Giving 3, the highest number of pets minus the lowest, finds the range, a different statistic entirely. Giving 19 states the total number of pupils, not a number of pets at all. Find the middle POSITION first, then read off the value it belongs to — do not confuse it with the mode, the range or the total.
- (c) 18 — Method: for n ordered values, GCSE convention places the lower quartile at position (n + 1) ÷ 4, counting from the smallest value. Working: there are 11 marks, so n + 1 = 11 + 1 = 12 and 12 ÷ 4 = 3, so the lower quartile is the 3rd value in the ordered list 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, 33, 36, 39, 42, which is 18. Answer: the lower quartile is 18 marks. Watch the position you count to: dividing 11 ÷ 4 = 2.75 without adding 1 first, then rounding down, lands on the 2nd value, 15, not the 3rd; reaching for the middle of the whole list instead gives the median, 27, a different statistic; and averaging the 3rd and 4th values, 18 + 21 = 39 and 39 ÷ 2 = 19.5, borrows a method for an even split where it is not needed here.
- (a) 150 bulbs — Method: assume the proportion faulty in a random sample is the proportion faulty in the whole day's output, and scale the sample up to the population. Working: the sample of 80 has to be scaled up to 4,000 bulbs, and 4,000 ÷ 80 = 50, so the day's output is 50 sample-sized batches. Each batch is expected to contain the same 3 faulty bulbs, so the estimate is 3 × 50 = 150. Answer: 150 bulbs, and it is an estimate, because another sample of 80 would probably contain a different number of faulty bulbs. The distractors: 50 bulbs is the scale factor 4,000 ÷ 80 written down as though it were the answer, so it reports how many batches there are rather than how many faulty bulbs; 120 bulbs comes from reading 3 out of 80 as 3%, then taking 0.03 × 4,000 = 120, but 3 out of 80 is 3.75%; 240 bulbs comes from 3 × 80 = 240, multiplying the faulty bulbs by the size of the sample instead of by the scale factor, which uses the 80 twice and the 4,000 not at all.
- (a) £16,000 — Method: first find the quarter with the highest sales figure, then subtract quarter 1's sales from it — remembering that every figure is given in THOUSANDS of pounds. Working: the highest sales figure is quarter 2, at £34,000 (34 thousand pounds). The increase from quarter 1 is £34,000 − £18,000 = £16,000. Giving £34,000 reads off the highest sales figure on its own, without subtracting quarter 1's sales — that is the highest quarter's total, not the increase. Giving £12,000 uses quarter 3's sales, 30, the SECOND-highest figure, instead of quarter 2's 34, the actual highest — 30 − 18 = 12, but quarter 3 is not the quarter with the highest sales. Giving £16 gets the subtraction right, 34 − 18 = 16, but forgets that every figure in the question is in thousands of pounds, so the increase is £16,000, not £16. Always identify the correct quarter FIRST, and always check the units the numbers are given in before writing your final answer.
- (a) No, the size of the fire affects both of the quantities — Method: correlation says that two quantities change together; a claim that one of them produces the other is a further claim, and it needs evidence that a scatter graph on its own cannot give. Working: the graph does show strong positive correlation, so more engines did go with greater damage. But neither quantity was set by the researchers: both were decided by how large the fire was. A large blaze brings many appliances and also destroys a great deal, while a small one brings few and destroys little, so a third quantity is driving both of the recorded ones. Answer: no, because the size of the fire affects both of the quantities. The distractors: saying the correlation is negative contradicts the graph, which shows the two quantities rising together, and reaching the right verdict from a false reading of the data is not the reason the mark is for; saying that strong positive correlation shows one quantity causes the other is the assumption the question exists to test, and no strength of correlation can establish cause; saying the points lie close to the line of best fit describes how strong the correlation is, and strength and cause are different matters entirely.
- (a) x = 0 gives y = −20: a negative number sold — The y-intercept is the value the line predicts when x = 0: y = 3 × 0 − 20 = −20. A kiosk cannot sell a negative number of ice creams, so this is not a sensible estimate. The 3 in the equation is the gradient, not the intercept, so an option claiming x = 0 gives y = 3 has swapped the two numbers around — substituting x = 0 makes the 3x term equal 0, leaving −20, not 3. The danger of extrapolating to very high temperatures is a real issue with this line, but it is a different issue from the y-intercept, so it does not answer this question. And whether x = 0 could occur on a trading day is beside the point: the model still makes that prediction, and it is the prediction itself, −20, that is impossible.
- (d) 16 — Method: rearrange interquartile range = upper quartile − lower quartile to make the lower quartile the subject: lower quartile = upper quartile − interquartile range, then check the answer sits in the right place in the list. Working: there are 11 values, so 11 + 1 = 12; the upper quartile sits at position 3 × 12 ÷ 4 = 9, which is 35, and x sits at position 12 ÷ 4 = 3, which is the lower quartile. So x = 35 − 19 = 16, and 16 does sit between the 2nd value, 9, and the 4th value, 17, as it should. Answer: x = 16. Watch how you rearrange and where you count to: adding instead of subtracting, 35 + 19 = 54, treats the interquartile range as something added on rather than a gap taken away; subtracting in the wrong order, 19 − 35 = −16, finds the right two numbers but flips the sign; and counting to the 8th value instead of the 9th treats 31 as the upper quartile, giving 31 − 19 = 12, one position short of where the upper quartile actually sits.
- (d) 60 — Method: on a histogram the frequency of a class is its frequency density × its class width, and the frequencies of all the classes add up to the total, so turn each labelled bar into a frequency and subtract their total from 250. Working: 10 ≤ age < 20 has width 20 − 10 = 10, so its frequency is 4.5 × 10 = 45; 20 ≤ age < 35 has width 35 − 20 = 15, so its frequency is 6 × 15 = 90; 50 ≤ age < 70 has width 70 − 50 = 20, so its frequency is 2.75 × 20 = 55. Those three come to 45 + 90 + 55 = 190, and the total is 250, so the missing frequency is 250 − 190 = 60. Answer: the class 35 ≤ age < 50 has 60 members. Watch what you do with the total and the three frequencies you have found: giving the total, 250, as the answer forgets that three bars have already accounted for some of the members; giving 190, the total of the other three classes, reports how many members are not in this class rather than how many are; and leaving one of the three out of the subtraction, for example 45 + 90 = 135 and 250 − 135 = 115, still owes the class at 50 ≤ age < 70 its 55 members.
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