Printable · GCSE Higher · ages 14-16
Statistics worksheet — GCSE Higher
Fifteen questions across the statistics statements at Higher tier. Choose the non-calculator filter to rehearse Paper 1, which counts for a third of the marks.
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Answer key: Statistics worksheet — GCSE Higher
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- (b) Treat them as outliers and check them before deciding — Method: a point lying a long way from the pattern the rest of the data make is called an outlier, and an outlier is investigated before anything is done with it, because it may be an error in the data or it may be a genuine but unusual case. Working: 48 of the 50 points lie close to the rising line of best fit, so the trend is set by those 48; the two remaining points do not follow it, so they are identified as outliers and checked — a mistake in measuring or recording would be corrected, while a genuine reading would be kept and reported. Answer: treat them as outliers and check them before deciding what to do with them. The distractors: deleting them at once assumes that every point far from the line must be an error, which throws away real data; moving the line so that it passes through them assumes a line of best fit must touch particular points, when it is drawn to follow all 50; taking them as proof that there is no correlation lets two points overturn the pattern that the other 48 agree on.
- (c) 156 cm — Method: to combine two groups' means, multiply each group's mean by its own number of pupils, add the two totals together, then divide by the total number of pupils in both groups. Working: 20 × 150 = 3,000 cm for the boys and 10 × 168 = 1,680 cm for the girls, giving a combined total of 3,000 + 1,680 = 4,680 cm. Dividing by all 30 pupils gives 4,680 ÷ 30 = 156 cm. Giving 159 cm averages the two means, (150 + 168) ÷ 2, treating the two groups as if they had the same number of pupils, when there are twice as many boys as girls. Giving 4,680 cm finds the correct combined total height but stops there, forgetting the final division by the 30 pupils. Giving 234 cm divides the combined total by 20, the number of boys only, forgetting that the total also includes the 10 girls. Always weight each mean by its own group size, and always divide by the TOTAL number of pupils in both groups combined.
- (c) 22 kg — Method: multiply the mean by the number of parcels to rebuild the total mass, then subtract the masses that are known. Working: four parcels with a mean mass of 17 kg have a total mass of 17 × 4 = 68 kg; the three known parcels total 12 + 16 + 18 = 46 kg; so the fourth parcel has mass 68 − 46 = 22 kg. Answer: 22 kg. The distractors: 68 kg comes from stopping at the total mass of all four parcels; 17 kg comes from assuming the missing parcel must have the mean mass; 5 kg comes from multiplying the mean by 3, the number of parcels whose mass is given, leaving 51 − 46 = 5.
- (d) An outlier from the damaged wing, not the trend. — That bird's point lies a long way from the rising trend followed by every other bird, and its low wingspan is explained by the damaged wing rather than by its age — it is an outlier caused by an unusual factor, not part of the general relationship between age and wingspan, so it should not be used when drawing the line of best fit. Saying every point must be used ignores that an outlier caused by a separate, identifiable factor can rightly be set aside. Saying it shows no correlation ignores that the other 19 points do show a clear rising trend; one outlier does not remove that. Saying it proves the line is inaccurate confuses one unusual bird with a fault in the line itself, when the line correctly describes the trend followed by the rest of the data.
- (a) 1,400 and 1,240, so combine the samples for one estimate — Method: scale each sample up to the whole stock, then use the fact that a larger sample gives a more reliable estimate than a smaller one. Working: the first sample gives 35 ÷ 50 = 0.7 and 0.7 × 2,000 = 1,400 paperbacks; the second gives 31 ÷ 50 = 0.62 and 0.62 × 2,000 = 1,240 paperbacks. Two random samples of the same size are expected to differ a little, so neither estimate is wrong. Putting the two together gives 35 + 31 = 66 paperbacks in 100 books, and 66 ÷ 100 = 0.66 with 0.66 × 2,000 = 1,320, an estimate resting on twice as many books as either volunteer checked. Answer: 1,400 and 1,240, so combine the samples for one estimate. The distractors: keeping 1,400 because it is larger picks an estimate by its size, when both samples held 50 books and neither has a stronger claim; saying a volunteer must have miscounted assumes two random samples ought to agree exactly, which is precisely what random sampling does not promise; 1,750 and 1,550 come from 35 × 50 = 1,750 and 31 × 50 = 1,550, multiplying each count by the size of the sample instead of scaling by 2,000 ÷ 50.
- (d) 29 — Method: with an even number of values there is no single middle value, so the median is the mean of the two values either side of the middle. Working: the six numbers are already in order and 6 ÷ 2 = 3, so the middle pair are the third and fourth values, 22 and 36; their mean is (22 + 36) ÷ 2 = 58 ÷ 2 = 29. Answer: 29, which lies between the two middle values as a median of an even data set must. The distractors: 22 comes from taking the lower of the two middle values and stopping there instead of averaging the pair; 36 comes from taking the larger value of that pair because it sits just past the halfway point of the list; 34 comes from working out the range, 47 − 13, instead of a measure of centre.
- (a) 150 bulbs — Method: assume the proportion faulty in a random sample is the proportion faulty in the whole day's output, and scale the sample up to the population. Working: the sample of 80 has to be scaled up to 4,000 bulbs, and 4,000 ÷ 80 = 50, so the day's output is 50 sample-sized batches. Each batch is expected to contain the same 3 faulty bulbs, so the estimate is 3 × 50 = 150. Answer: 150 bulbs, and it is an estimate, because another sample of 80 would probably contain a different number of faulty bulbs. The distractors: 50 bulbs is the scale factor 4,000 ÷ 80 written down as though it were the answer, so it reports how many batches there are rather than how many faulty bulbs; 120 bulbs comes from reading 3 out of 80 as 3%, then taking 0.03 × 4,000 = 120, but 3 out of 80 is 3.75%; 240 bulbs comes from 3 × 80 = 240, multiplying the faulty bulbs by the size of the sample instead of by the scale factor, which uses the 80 twice and the 4,000 not at all.
- (b) 74 marks — Method: the two groups are different sizes, so their means cannot simply be averaged — rebuild each group's total mark, add the totals and divide by all 50 pupils. Working: Group A scored 20 × 80 = 1600 marks and Group B scored 30 × 70 = 2100 marks, giving 1600 + 2100 = 3700 marks altogether, so the overall mean is 3700 ÷ 50 = 74 marks. Answer: 74 marks, which sits nearer to 70 than to 80 because the larger group scored 70. The distractors: 75 marks comes from averaging the two group means, (80 + 70) ÷ 2, as though the groups were the same size; 76 marks comes from attaching each mean to the other group's size, (20 × 70 + 30 × 80) ÷ 50; 150 marks comes from adding the two means together and never dividing at all.
- (a) (30, 60) — Method: a cumulative frequency point is plotted at the upper boundary of its class, paired with the running total of all the frequencies up to and including that class. Working: the running totals are 7, then 7 + 19 = 26, then 26 + 34 = 60, then 60 + 40 = 100; the class 20 ≤ t < 30 has upper boundary 30, and the running total there is 60. Answer: the point for that class is plotted at 30 seconds against a cumulative frequency of 60. The distractors: (25, 60) comes from plotting at the class midpoint, which is what a frequency polygon uses and not what a cumulative frequency diagram uses; (30, 34) comes from plotting the class frequency, 34, rather than the running total; (20, 60) comes from plotting at the lower boundary of the class, which would claim that 60 calls took less than 20 seconds when only 26 did.
- (c) 15 — Method: the interquartile range is the upper quartile take away the lower quartile, IQR = Q3 − Q1. Working: n + 1 = 15 + 1 = 16, so the lower quartile sits at position 16 ÷ 4 = 4, the 4th value in the list, which is 12; the upper quartile sits at position 3 × 4 = 12, the 12th value, which is 27. So 27 − 12 = 15. Answer: the interquartile range is 15 minutes. Watch which values you use and which way round: taking the smallest time away from the largest, 34 − 5 = 29, finds the range, which uses every value between the extremes rather than just the middle half; taking the median away from the upper quartile instead of the lower quartile, 27 − 19 = 8, swaps the median in for the lower quartile; and reversing the subtraction, 12 − 27 = −15, finds the right two values but in the wrong order — an interquartile range is never negative.
- (c) A histogram, with frequency density up the vertical axis — Method: decide which diagram makes area stand for frequency, which is the property the question asks for. Working: on a histogram the vertical axis is frequency density, so the area of a bar is frequency density × class width, and that product is the frequency; this is exactly what is wanted, and it is what allows classes of unequal width to be shown fairly. Answer: a histogram, with frequency density up the vertical axis. The distractors: a bar chart plots frequency as the height, so with unequal widths a wide class would cover far more area than a narrow class holding the same number of batteries, and area would measure nothing; a cumulative frequency diagram plots running totals against upper class boundaries, so a point on it gives how many lie below a value rather than how many lie in a class; a pie chart shows each class as a share of the whole 300 and loses the class widths entirely, so no area on it is tied to a scale of hours.
- (a) £16,000 — Method: first find the quarter with the highest sales figure, then subtract quarter 1's sales from it — remembering that every figure is given in THOUSANDS of pounds. Working: the highest sales figure is quarter 2, at £34,000 (34 thousand pounds). The increase from quarter 1 is £34,000 − £18,000 = £16,000. Giving £34,000 reads off the highest sales figure on its own, without subtracting quarter 1's sales — that is the highest quarter's total, not the increase. Giving £12,000 uses quarter 3's sales, 30, the SECOND-highest figure, instead of quarter 2's 34, the actual highest — 30 − 18 = 12, but quarter 3 is not the quarter with the highest sales. Giving £16 gets the subtraction right, 34 − 18 = 16, but forgets that every figure in the question is in thousands of pounds, so the increase is £16,000, not £16. Always identify the correct quarter FIRST, and always check the units the numbers are given in before writing your final answer.
- (a) 1.24 — Method: for data given as a frequency table, the mean is Σfx ÷ Σf — multiply each value by its frequency, add the results, then divide by the total frequency. Working: 0 × 6 = 0. 1 × 10 = 10. 2 × 6 = 12. 3 × 3 = 9. So Σfx = 0 + 10 + 12 + 9 = 31. The total frequency is Σf = 6 + 10 + 6 + 3 = 25. Mean = 31 ÷ 25 = 1.24 siblings. Averaging the frequency column itself, (6 + 10 + 6 + 3) ÷ 4 = 6.25, mixes up the frequencies with the values they belong to. Writing down 1, the number of siblings with the highest frequency, gives the mode, not the mean. Writing down 31 stops after finding Σfx and forgets to divide by the total frequency, 25. Always divide Σfx by Σf — never stop at the top of the fraction.
- (a) x = 0 gives y = −20: a negative number sold — The y-intercept is the value the line predicts when x = 0: y = 3 × 0 − 20 = −20. A kiosk cannot sell a negative number of ice creams, so this is not a sensible estimate. The 3 in the equation is the gradient, not the intercept, so an option claiming x = 0 gives y = 3 has swapped the two numbers around — substituting x = 0 makes the 3x term equal 0, leaving −20, not 3. The danger of extrapolating to very high temperatures is a real issue with this line, but it is a different issue from the y-intercept, so it does not answer this question. And whether x = 0 could occur on a trading day is beside the point: the model still makes that prediction, and it is the prediction itself, −20, that is impossible.
- (d) 300 pupils — Method: an estimate for a whole population is made by finding the proportion in the sample and applying that same proportion to the population. Working: in the sample 30 of the 50 pupils prefer sport, a proportion of 30 ÷ 50 = 0.6, and applying that proportion to the school gives 0.6 × 500 = 300 pupils. Answer: 300 pupils, and it is only an estimate, because a different random sample of 50 would give a slightly different figure. The distractors: 200 pupils comes from scaling up the 20 pupils in the sample who did not prefer sport, 20 × 10, which answers the opposite question; 150 pupils comes from reading 30 out of 50 as 30% and taking 30% of 500; 60 pupils comes from working out the proportion correctly as 60% and then writing the 60 down as a number of pupils instead of applying it to the 500.
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